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03 February 2012

New Poll Shows Gingrich Holding 13 Point Lead Over Romney in Georgia

11Alive and SurveyUSA released the results of a new poll in advance of Georgia's March 6th presidential primary, now just over a month away.

In a Georgia Primary today, former Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich defeats Mitt Romney, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV Atlanta. Gingrich leads by 17 points among those reached on a landline telephone. Romney leads by 8 among those unreachable on a landline phone. When the two groups are proportionately blended, it’s Gingrich 45%, Romney 32%, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul are in single digits. Gingrich leads 2:1 among those who say they are “strong Republicans” and among evangelicals. Gingrich leads 4:1 among those who say they are “very conservative.”

Gingrich in Georgia has a Net Favorability of Minus 7. Romney has a Net Favorability of Minus 17. Still, that is enough for either Republican to defeat Barack Obama in the general election in November, and keep Georgia’s 16 electoral votes safely Republican red. Against Romney, Obama loses Georgia by 8. Against Gingrich, Obama loses Georgia by 6. In 2008, Obama lost Georgia to John McCain by 5 points.

Georgia is a must win for Gingrich, especially if Mitt Romney runs the table with wins in every caucus and primary scheduled in February. Expect Gingrich to invest considerable resources towards winning Georgia March 6th.