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16 October 2010

Sanford Bishop Sees Chance of Victory Drop Twenty Points

Nate Silver, the stats guru who runs, recently updated his forecast for the congressional race between Democrat Sanford Bishop and Republican Mike Keown.

Silver updated his model after two new polls, one from the Keown campaign and one from Bishop, were released this week.

The FiveThirtyEight model now says Sanford Bishop's chance of victory is 56.9%, a more than twenty point drop from the October 8th model which pegged the Albany Democrat's re-election chances at 78.2%.

Silver predicts Bishop will squeak by with a win on November 2nd.

Click here to see the October 15th election model for Georgia's 2nd district.