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07 September 2010

Abramowitz Predicts GOP Wins 49 Seats As Kingston Visualizes Speaker Boehner

The prevailing opinion from political prognosticators these days seems to be that Democrats are on track to lose their majority in the U.S House this November.

Monday afternoon, The Huffington Post reported that a panel of political scientists, including Emory University's Alan Abramowitz, predicted the Republicans getting the 40 seats they need to oust Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Alan Abramowitz of Emory University forecast a Republican gain of 49 seats, based on current polling showing Republican with a roughly five percentage-point lead on the generic House ballot.

Blumenthal, Mark (2010-9-6). Political Scientists Forecast Big Losses For Democrats In 2010 Midterm Elections. The Huffington Post. Retrieved on 2010-9-7.

These forecasts from Abramowitz and others have some considering what things may be like with Ohio Republican John Boehner as Speaker.

1st district Congressman Jack Kingston (R - Savannah) told the Associated Press he believes Boehner is a "solid choice for the Republican Party."

Kingston, an 18-year House veteran who has had his own turns in the GOP leadership, said Boehner "is a known quantity. He's not going to be saying anything stupid or doing anything stupid."

Boehner may lack Gingrich's revolutionary zeal and intellectual bent, Kingston said, but he has a steadier grasp of intramural politics.

"He'd be better able to manage that new, hard-energy reform crowd than Newt," Kingston said, adding that the House "is a political body, not an ideological body."

Babington, Charles (2010-9-6). John Boehner: Speaker-In-Waiting? House GOP Leader Looking To Swipe Pelosi's Gavel. The Huffington Post. Retrieved on 2010-9-7.