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11 February 2010

Charlie Cook Slides Governor's Election From "Leans Republican" To "Toss-Up"

If one is to believe the latest analysis from a national political observer, Georgia Republicans may have to actually do some work to maintain their hold of the Governor's Mansion.

Charlie Cook, widely regarded as one of the nation’s leading authorities on U.S. elections and political trends, recently moved Georgia's gubernatorial election from "Leans Republican" to "Toss Up".

Radio talk show host Martha Zoller sums up why the Georgia GOP suddenly has a problem on their hands:

In Georgia, as around the country, ethics is an issue. The electorate is not patient with ethics issues in this election cycle. Legislatures, including Georgia’s are dealing with ethics and ethics reform.

. . . the political prognosticator, Charlie Cook, has moved the Georgia governor’s race from a safe Republican win to a tossup due to [. . .] other ethics issues involving former Speaker Glenn Richardson.

Zoller, Martha (2010-2-10). Georgia Gov. Candidate Goes from Safe Republican Win to Toss up. Human Events.com. Retrieved on 2010-2-11.

Zoller points to the ethics problems surrounding State Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine, including his handling of an ongoing investigation regarding the collapse of a Georgia insurance company, as the reason why Democrats now have a chance of victory in a conservative state.

But as I've written so many times before, Democrats have always had a chance to score wins in Georgia if only they would capitalize on the Republicans' unforced errors. The question, as always, is whether the Dems will do it.