With Georgia's 45-day early voting period now at a close, more than 2 million ballots were cast representing 36% of the Peach State's 5.5 million registered voters.
Using the Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll released October 31st, we can project where both candidates stand with less than a day left until Election Day.
In the poll, McCain was clinging to a 3-point lead over Obama, 47% to 44% with 3% going to other candidates and 6% undecided. The demographic breakdown showed the following:
| White | ||||
| Black | ||||
| Hispanic | ||||
| Other |
After applying the percentage of the candidate's support in each demographic group to the number of early votes cast, we see that Barack Obama gets 48.2%; John McCain gets 43.4%; Bob Barr gets 3% leaving 5.3% undecided.
In other words, if the ballots from early voting were counted today, Barack Obama would hold a lead of about 97,000 votes with 107,288 additional votes undecided.
Below is the breakdown of votes each candidate might have received during Georgia's early voting period using the Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll:
McCain:
69% of the White vote - 841,880
4% of the Black vote - 28,208
8% of the Hispanic vote - 1,193
8% of Other
(including Native Americans and Asian/Pacific Islanders) - 6,448
Total - 877,729 or 43.4%
22% of the White vote - 268,426
91% of the Black vote - 641,735
66% of the Hispanic vote - 9,843
68% of Other
(including Native Americans and Asian/Pacific Islanders) - 54,812
Total - 974,816 or 48.2%
5% of the White vote - 61,006
0% of the Black vote - 0
0% of the Hispanic vote - 0
0% of Other
(including Native Americans and Asian/Pacific Islanders) - 0
Total - 61,006 or 3.0%
4% Undecided Whites - 48,805
5% Undecided Blacks - 35,260
26% Undecided Hispanics - 3,878
24% Undecided Other
(including Native Americans and Asian/Pacific Islanders) - 19,345
Total - 107,288 or 5.3%